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Snow woes, warmer winter expected in Middle Tennessee this season

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Posted at 8:25 PM, Nov 09, 2021
and last updated 2021-11-09 23:22:56-05

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WTVF) — For the second year in a row, La Nina conditions are in place and are expected to remain in place until early Spring of 2022. La Nina typically leads to warmer than normal winters for the Mid-State.

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The keyword here is "normal." Earlier this year the National Weather Service released new climate normals for temperatures, precipitation, and snowfall across the Mid-State. Climate normals are calculated from weather data collected over 30 years. The old normals stretched from 1981-2010, the new normals are from 1991-2020 and it's no surprise that with our climate warming our new normals are warmer, wetter, and have less snowfall.

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The old normal snowfall for our area was 6.3", the new normal is 4.7". That's nearly 2" less. With La Nina conditions reinforcing a "warmer than normal" winter, it's not good news for snow lovers across the area.

It's important to remember that while a "warmer trend" is expected, it doesn't mean we can't or won't get some potent cold snaps it's just less likely. Last year was a La Nina year, and we all remember the ice/snow wallop we got in February that shut the city down for nearly a week.