Storm 5 Alert: Damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes possible tonight

Posted at 6:39 PM, Mar 22, 2020
and last updated 2020-03-24 21:34:49-04

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WTVF) — A Storm 5 Alert remains in effect this afternoon as a line of strong to severe storms are expected to move across our area. The Storm 5 Weather team is tracking the threat of damaging winds, large hail, heavy rain and a few tornadoes.

The Storm Prediction Center has upgraded the risk for severe weather along the Tennessee-Alabama border. They have also upgraded the tornado risk to a 10% chance in Southern Middle Tennessee. The best threat for severe weather is 1 p.m. - 10 p.m.

Round 2: 1 p.m - 10 p.m.

This is when the severe weather threat will be greatest as a line of storms moves west to east. This is when we could see damaging winds, hail, locally heavy downpours and a few tornadoes. The key question remain how far to the north will a warm front lift. Right now, that front is along the southern border of Tennessee. Locations along and south of the warm front will have the greatest risk for severe weather.

This doesn't mean Nashville is in the clear, but the latest thinking is that warm front will stall right at or just south of I-40. This would mean risk isn't as great in Nashville, Clarksville and Cookeville. Again, that doesn't mean those cities are in the clear.

The graphic below shows there a 2% chance of a tornado within a 25 mile radius of any point in the green. There's a 10% chance of a tornado within a 25 mile radius of any point in the yellow.